10.25.2005

CAMPBELL CAMPAIGN E-MAIL: CHANNEL 3 POLL SHOWS JACKSON AHEAD BY 20 POINTS

The following just arrived in a "Campbell for Cleveland" email:
This evening Channel 3 will broadcast the results of their recent poll...

The results they will broadcast are fallacious. Jackson 54 - Campbell
34 and here's why.

The demographics which should be 50/50 east and west and 50/50 black
and white are:

61% east
54 % black
15% seniors
60 % under 49.

The senior number is ridiculous. Seniors and over 50 year olds are the
largest voting blocks.

Our internal poll completed last week showed the race dead even.
Actually, SurveyUSA's polling for Channel 3 was extremely accurate in the primary.

Update: The WKYC poll story is now posted here. The full results are here. It's easy to see why the Campbell campaign reacted so defensively. If these numbers are even approximately accurate, the Mayor is fried.

If Jerry Austin has a poll that looks "dead even" and wants to argue methodology, he'd better release the whole thing right now.